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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
Aug 23, 2020 at 1.30pm UK
Swedbank Stadion, Malm

Malmo
2 - 1
Falkenbergs

Rieks (40'), Kiese Thelin (51')
Larsson (39'), Brorsson (53'), Beijmo (60'), Nalic (84'), Nielsen (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Englund (87')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Falkenbergs.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 76.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Falkenbergs had a probability of 8.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.95%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Falkenbergs win it was 0-1 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawFalkenbergs
76.51%15.31%8.18%
Both teams to score 44.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.94%40.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57%62.43%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.27%8.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.98%30.02%
Falkenbergs Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.54%51.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.35%85.65%
Score Analysis
    Malmo 76.49%
    Falkenbergs 8.18%
    Draw 15.31%
MalmoDrawFalkenbergs
2-0 @ 13.35%
1-0 @ 10.95%
3-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 8.88%
3-1 @ 7.21%
4-0 @ 6.62%
4-1 @ 4.4%
5-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.4%
5-1 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.46%
6-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 76.49%
1-1 @ 7.28%
0-0 @ 4.49%
2-2 @ 2.95%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 15.31%
0-1 @ 2.99%
1-2 @ 2.42%
0-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 8.18%


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