Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honved win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honved win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Malmo win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.