Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 69.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 11.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.