SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 15 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 15 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Viking FK | 16 | 9 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sirius | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Elfsborg | 14 | 8 | 20 |
| 10 | Mjallby AIF | 14 | 1 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Elfsborg |
42.11% ( 0.03) | 22.63% ( -0.06) | 35.27% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.43% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.71% ( 0.31) | 34.29% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.81% ( 0.35) | 56.19% ( -0.35) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( 0.14) | 16.96% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.94% ( 0.25) | 47.06% ( -0.25) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( 0.16) | 20% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.82% ( 0.26) | 52.18% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.27% |
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