SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Mjallby AIF | 19 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Kalmar | 18 | 4 | 27 |
| 9 | Sirius | 18 | -5 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Hammarby | 17 | 21 | 33 |
| 6 | IFK Goteborg | 18 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Mjallby AIF | 19 | 2 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 51.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a IFK Goteborg win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
51.27% ( 0.04) | 25.77% ( -0.05) | 22.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.45% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.61% ( 0.19) | 55.39% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.41% ( 0.15) | 76.59% ( -0.15) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( 0.09) | 21.65% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% ( 0.14) | 54.78% ( -0.14) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.57% ( 0.11) | 39.43% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.87% ( 0.1) | 76.13% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 22.95% |
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