Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Goteborg win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
