Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Varbergs BoIS in this match.