Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 76.44%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Orebro had a probability of 8.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.65%) and 1-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Orebro win it was 0-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.