Djurgardens IF have a fantastic recent record against Malmo, winning the last three matches between the two sides, and their form has really picked up in recent weeks. While it is likely to be a closely-contested game, Djurgarden should be able to get over the line, especially considering they have the best home record in the Allsvenskan so far this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Malmo win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.

Result
Djurgardens IF	Draw	Malmo
37.07% ( -0)	26.05%	36.87% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.07% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.61% (

50.38% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.67% (

72.32% (

-0)

Djurgardens IF Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.59% (

26.41% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.42% (

61.57% (

-0)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

26.52% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27% (

61.73% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Djurgardens IF 37.07%

Malmo 36.87%

Draw 26.04%

Djurgardens IF	Draw	Malmo
1-0 @ 9.33% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.07%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.87%