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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2021 at 6pm UK
Swedbank Stadion, Malm
RL

Malmo
2 - 1
Rangers

Rieks (47'), Birmancevic (49')
Rieks (18'), Moisander (52'), Nielsen (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Davis (90+5')
Barisic (38'), Itten (43'), Arfield (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
MalmoDrawRangers
30.01%25.22%44.77%
Both teams to score 54.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.58%48.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44%70.56%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1%29.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34%66%
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37%21.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25%54.75%
Score Analysis
    Malmo 30.01%
    Rangers 44.77%
    Draw 25.22%
MalmoDrawRangers
1-0 @ 7.81%
2-1 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 30.01%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 9.15%
0-2 @ 7.58%
1-3 @ 4.67%
0-3 @ 3.87%
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 1.79%
0-4 @ 1.48%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 44.77%

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