Malmo
2 - 1
HJK Helsinki

(Malmo win 4-3 on aggregate)

Colak (45+1'), Christiansen (74')
Larsson (61'), Ahmedhodzic (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Riski (68')
Riski (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Malmo and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Malmo	Draw	HJK Helsinki
45.46%	25.49%	29.04%

Both teams to score 53.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.95%

50.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.97%

72.02%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78%

21.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.7%

55.3%

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.58%

31.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.2%

67.79%

Score Analysis

Malmo 45.46%

HJK Helsinki 29.04%

Draw 25.49%

Malmo	Draw	HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.31% Total : 45.46%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 8% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.85% Total : 29.04%