Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Mjallby AIF win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
