SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Varnamo win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Malmo |
16.32% ( -0.36) | 20.02% ( 0.01) | 63.66% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.55% ( -0.75) | 40.45% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.17% ( -0.78) | 62.82% ( 0.78) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.08% ( -0.9) | 37.92% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.31% ( -0.88) | 74.69% ( 0.89) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.94% ( -0.13) | 12.06% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.42% ( -0.27) | 37.57% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.32% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.02% | 0-2 @ 10.23% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0)0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 7.21% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 7% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.81% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 3.7% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.75% Total : 63.66% |
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