Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malmo in this match.
Result | ||
IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Malmo |
20.99% ( 0.05) | 22.41% ( 0) | 56.59% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.17% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.11% ( 0.05) | 43.89% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.72% ( 0.05) | 66.27% ( -0.05) |
IFK Norrkoping Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.14% ( 0.08) | 34.85% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.41% ( 0.08) | 71.58% ( -0.08) |
Malmo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.68% ( 0) | 15.31% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.95% ( 0.01) | 44.04% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Malmo |
1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 21% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.09% 0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.58% |
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