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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 30
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Swedbank Stadion

Malmo
1 - 0
Elfsborg

Kiese Thelin (57' pen.)
Rieks (21'), Busanello (28'), Jansson (43'), Berg Johnsen (51'), Pena (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Frick (28'), Baidoo (73')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Elfsborg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hacken 4-2 Malmo
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-2 Degerfors
Sunday, November 5 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malmo in this match.

Result
MalmoDrawElfsborg
55.62%22.72% (0.0010000000000012 0) 21.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.14% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.41% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)44.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (0.0039999999999907 0)34.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.78% (0.004999999999999 0)71.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 55.61%
    Elfsborg 21.67%
    Draw 22.72%
MalmoDrawElfsborg
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.07%
3-0 @ 5.7%
3-2 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 2.8%
4-0 @ 2.63%
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.03%
5-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 55.61%
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 5.46%
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.81%
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 21.67%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hacken 4-2 Malmo
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 0-1 Malmo
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 5-0 Varbergs
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Kalmar 1-0 Malmo
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 2-1 Brommapojkarna
Monday, October 2 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Degerfors 1-2 Malmo
Saturday, September 23 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-2 Degerfors
Sunday, November 5 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Goteborg 1-2 Elfsborg
Monday, October 30 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 3-0 AIK
Monday, October 23 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Brommapojkarna 0-3 Elfsborg
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-1 Varbergs
Monday, October 2 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Halmstad 0-1 Elfsborg
Monday, September 25 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


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