Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Sirius win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.
