SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
49.77% ( 1.02) | 24.95% ( -0.16) | 25.28% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( 0.01) | 50.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( 0.01) | 72.23% ( -0.01) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.78% ( 0.43) | 20.22% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.46% ( 0.69) | 52.54% ( -0.69) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.49% ( -0.71) | 34.51% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.78% ( -0.76) | 71.22% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.77% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.28% |
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