Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 77.58%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 8.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.4%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Ostersunds FK win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.