SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Degerfors win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Degerfors |
58.28% ( -0.41) | 20.97% ( 0.04) | 20.74% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.39% ( 0.31) | 37.61% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.15% ( 0.33) | 59.84% ( -0.34) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.29% ( -0.02) | 12.7% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.08% ( -0.04) | 38.91% ( 0.03) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.49% ( 0.51) | 31.51% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.1% ( 0.59) | 67.9% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Degerfors |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.14)1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.91% Total : 58.28% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.97% | 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 20.74% |
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