SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 74.94%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Brommapojkarna had a probability of 10.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Brommapojkarna win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Brommapojkarna |
74.94% ( 0.15) | 15.01% ( -0.01) | 10.05% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.08% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.1% ( -0.45) | 31.89% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.55% ( -0.53) | 53.44% ( 0.53) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.83% ( -0.08) | 7.16% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.95% ( -0.19) | 26.04% ( 0.19) |
| Brommapojkarna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.26% ( -0.59) | 41.74% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.79% ( -0.52) | 78.21% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Brommapojkarna |
| 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.66% Total : 74.93% | 1-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.01% | 1-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.05% |
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