Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Sirius win it was 2-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Sirius	Draw	Malmo
15.54% ( 0.11)	19.44% ( 0.08)	65.02% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 54.77% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.68% (

-0.15)

39.32% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.34% (

-0.16)

61.65% (

0.16)

Sirius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.79% (

0.04)

38.21% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.02% (

0.04)

74.97% (

-0.04)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.64% (

-0.09)

11.36% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.93% (

-0.2)

36.07% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Sirius 15.54%

Malmo 65.01%

Draw 19.44%

Sirius	Draw	Malmo
2-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 15.54%	1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.44%	0-2 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 7.45% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 7.16% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 4.05% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.11% Total : 65.01%