SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Sirius win it was 2-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Malmo |
15.54% ( 0.11) | 19.44% ( 0.08) | 65.02% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.68% ( -0.15) | 39.32% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.34% ( -0.16) | 61.65% ( 0.16) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.79% ( 0.04) | 38.21% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.02% ( 0.04) | 74.97% ( -0.04) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.64% ( -0.09) | 11.36% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.93% ( -0.2) | 36.07% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 15.54% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.44% | 0-2 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 7.45% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 7.16% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 4.05% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 3.9% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.11% Total : 65.01% |
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