SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
52.8% ( -0.08) | 22.97% ( -0) | 24.23% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.62% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.34% ( 0.09) | 42.66% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.94% ( 0.09) | 65.06% ( -0.08) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.83% ( 0) | 16.17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.37% ( 0.01) | 45.64% ( -0) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( 0.11) | 31.26% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% ( 0.13) | 67.61% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 52.8% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 24.23% |
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