SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hacken in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | Malmo |
52.45% ( 1.11) | 21.68% ( -0.4) | 25.87% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 64.04% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.01% ( 1.28) | 34.99% ( -1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.02% ( 1.42) | 56.98% ( -1.42) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.41% ( 0.8) | 13.58% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.29% ( 1.59) | 40.7% ( -1.6) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( 0.17) | 25.88% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% ( 0.23) | 60.86% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.11)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 3% Total : 52.45% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.87% |
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