SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Sirius |
33.25% ( -0.54) | 24.97% ( -0.29) | 41.78% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 57.2% ( 0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.89% ( 1.16) | 46.1% ( -1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.59% ( 1.09) | 68.4% ( -1.09) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( 0.23) | 26.63% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( 0.31) | 61.87% ( -0.31) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( 0.9) | 22.03% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.63% ( 1.35) | 55.36% ( -1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varbergs BoIS | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.34)2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.25% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.78% |
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