Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Helsingborg had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Helsingborg win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
