Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
