Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sundsvall had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Sundsvall win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
