Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
