Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.