SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Varbergs BoIS | 20 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Varnamo | 20 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 21 | -23 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Degerfors | 21 | -23 | 16 |
| 15 | Helsingborg | 19 | -15 | 14 |
| 16 | Sundsvall | 21 | -36 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Helsingborg had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Helsingborg win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varnamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Helsingborg |
40.63% ( 0.3) | 26.13% ( 0.04) | 33.23% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 53.29% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% ( -0.24) | 51.16% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% ( -0.21) | 73.01% ( 0.21) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( 0.05) | 24.83% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.57% ( 0.07) | 59.42% ( -0.07) |
| Helsingborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( -0.33) | 29.11% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% ( -0.41) | 65.03% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Helsingborg |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.23% |
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