SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Varbergs BoIS | 14 | -11 | 15 |
| 13 | Varnamo | 14 | -10 | 13 |
| 14 | Sundsvall | 14 | -21 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Hacken | 13 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | AIK Fotboll | 14 | 6 | 28 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 13 | 15 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
33.12% ( 0.09) | 27.14% ( 0.04) | 39.75% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.75% ( -0.15) | 55.25% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.53% ( -0.13) | 76.47% ( 0.13) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( -0.02) | 31.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.43% ( -0.02) | 67.57% ( 0.02) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( -0.14) | 27.19% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.4% ( -0.19) | 62.6% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.12% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.74% |
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