SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Hacken | 16 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | AIK Fotboll | 16 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | Hammarby | 16 | 20 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Varbergs BoIS | 17 | -16 | 18 |
| 13 | Varnamo | 17 | -10 | 17 |
| 14 | Helsingborg | 17 | -15 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Varnamo win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Varnamo |
63.75% ( 0.35) | 22.08% ( 0.14) | 14.17% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 43.09% ( -1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.8% ( -1.39) | 53.2% ( 1.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.24% ( -1.19) | 74.76% ( 1.19) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( -0.36) | 16.11% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.47% ( -0.66) | 45.53% ( 0.66) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.36% ( -1.56) | 48.64% ( 1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.31% ( -1.15) | 83.69% ( 1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Varnamo |
| 1-0 @ 14.3% ( 0.6) 2-0 @ 13.05% ( 0.39)2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.77% Total : 63.73% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.77% Total : 14.17% |
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