SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Varbergs BoIS | 19 | -16 | 20 |
| 13 | Varnamo | 18 | -10 | 18 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 18 | -21 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Sirius | 18 | -5 | 25 |
| 10 | Elfsborg | 18 | 7 | 23 |
| 11 | IFK Norrkoping | 18 | -3 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Elfsborg |
32.22% ( 0.02) | 25.58% ( 0.01) | 42.2% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.79% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.93% ( -0.02) | 49.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( -0.02) | 71.15% ( 0.02) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( -0) | 28.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( -0) | 64.56% |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% ( -0.02) | 23.12% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.03% ( -0.03) | 56.97% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.22% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.12% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.2% |
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