SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Goteborg win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Goteborg | Draw | Varnamo |
46.03% ( 6.4) | 25.55% ( -0.68) | 28.43% ( -5.71) |
| Both teams to score 52.94% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.41% ( 0.78) | 50.59% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.49% ( 0.69) | 72.51% ( -0.68) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( 3.5) | 21.97% ( -3.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.74% ( 5.03) | 55.26% ( -5.02) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( -3.52) | 32.16% ( 3.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.36% ( -4.2) | 68.64% ( 4.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Goteborg | Draw | Varnamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.73) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.67)2-0 @ 8.11% ( 1.29)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.76)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.99)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.43)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.49)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.02% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -1.1) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.91)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -1.15)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.65)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.66)Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.43% |
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