SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
41.53% ( -0.01) | 24.32% ( 0.01) | 34.15% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.78% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.14% ( -0.05) | 42.85% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.74% ( -0.05) | 65.26% ( 0.05) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( -0.03) | 20.77% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.59% ( -0.04) | 53.41% ( 0.04) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.44% ( -0.03) | 24.55% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.96% ( -0.04) | 59.03% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.15% |
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