SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varnamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
37.37% ( 0.43) | 26.15% ( -0.27) | 36.48% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.73% ( 0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.19% ( 1.16) | 50.81% ( -1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.3% ( 1.01) | 72.7% ( -1.01) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( 0.79) | 26.44% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.38% ( 1.05) | 61.61% ( -1.05) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( 0.45) | 26.95% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.71% ( 0.59) | 62.29% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.37% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.48% |
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