SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Belgrano |
49.9% ( 0.02) | 28.44% ( -0.02) | 21.65% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 39.37% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.88% ( 0.05) | 65.12% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.02% ( 0.04) | 83.97% ( -0.03) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( 0.03) | 26.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.24% ( 0.04) | 61.76% ( -0.05) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.61% ( 0.03) | 46.39% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.98% ( 0.02) | 82.02% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 16.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 49.9% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.43% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.58% Total : 21.65% |
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