SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
30.43% ( 0.53) | 27.73% ( 0.48) | 41.84% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.46% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.85% ( -1.57) | 58.14% ( 1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.19% ( -1.25) | 78.8% ( 1.25) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.38% ( -0.43) | 34.62% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.65% ( -0.46) | 71.34% ( 0.46) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( -1.27) | 27.4% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.12% ( -1.67) | 62.87% ( 1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.21% Total : 30.43% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.84% |
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