SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.07%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Belgrano win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | River Plate |
16.69% ( -0.8) | 23.35% ( -0.8) | 59.96% ( 1.6) |
| Both teams to score 44.93% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.25% ( 1.79) | 53.75% ( -1.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.77% ( 1.49) | 75.23% ( -1.49) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.55% ( 0.04) | 45.45% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.71% ( 0.04) | 81.29% ( -0.04) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( 1.25) | 17.62% ( -1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.79% ( 2.13) | 48.21% ( -2.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 16.69% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.58)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 13.9% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 12.07% ( 0.14)1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 6.99% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.28)0-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.27)1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.11)0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.39% Total : 59.96% |
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