SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
56.23% ( 1.57) | 24.14% ( -0.56) | 19.63% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.74% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.26% ( 0.94) | 52.74% ( -0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.62% ( 0.8) | 74.38% ( -0.8) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( 0.96) | 18.62% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.09% ( 1.59) | 49.91% ( -1.6) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.65% ( -0.55) | 41.35% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.14% ( -0.49) | 77.86% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.13% Total : 56.22% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 3% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 19.63% |
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