SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 47.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
47.41% ( 1.1) | 27.43% ( 0.01) | 25.16% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.07% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.41% ( -0.69) | 59.58% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.08% ( -0.54) | 79.92% ( 0.53) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( 0.22) | 25.22% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.04% ( 0.31) | 59.95% ( -0.31) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.26% ( -1.37) | 39.73% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.59% ( -1.29) | 76.4% ( 1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.41% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.4% Total : 25.16% |
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