Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Banfield | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
55.63% ( -0.07) | 26.6% ( -0.22) | 17.77% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 38.68% ( 0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.8% ( 0.91) | 63.2% ( -0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.39% ( 0.65) | 82.61% ( -0.66) |
Banfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.93% ( 0.37) | 23.07% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.1% ( 0.54) | 56.9% ( -0.54) |
Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.27% ( 0.9) | 49.72% ( -0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.53% ( 0.62) | 84.46% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Banfield | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
1-0 @ 16.82% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 12.33% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.37% Total : 55.62% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.37% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.77% |
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