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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Aug 31, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
4 - 0
Independiente Rivadavia

Romero (19'), Gomez (30'), Pizzini (69'), Santos (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Abecasis (23'), Asenjo (31'), Romero (58'), Bianchi (67')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Independiente Rivadavia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barracas Central 0-5 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, August 26 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 0-2 Platense
Friday, August 23 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 59.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 15.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.17%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
59.16% (0.084999999999994 0.08) 25.43% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 15.4% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 37.41% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.5% (0.096000000000004 0.1)62.5% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.89% (0.070999999999998 0.07)82.1% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.073999999999998 0.07)21.3% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.116 0.12)54.24% (-0.115 -0.12)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.53% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)52.46% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)86.31% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 59.16%
    Independiente Rivadavia 15.4%
    Draw 25.42%
Velez SarsfieldDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
1-0 @ 17.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 59.16%
0-0 @ 11.17% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.78% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.6% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 15.4%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-5 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, August 26 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Instituto
Sunday, August 18 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 2-2 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, August 11 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 3-0 Defensa
Saturday, August 3 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-2 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, July 29 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 0-2 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, July 25 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 0-2 Platense
Friday, August 23 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 2-1 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, August 18 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, August 10 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-1 Independiente Rivadavia
Monday, August 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Independiente
Saturday, July 27 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Tuesday, July 23 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division


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