SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 44.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 26.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Banfield |
44.42% ( -0.05) | 28.7% ( -0.01) | 26.87% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.03% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.19% ( 0.05) | 62.81% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.67% ( 0.04) | 82.33% ( -0.04) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% | 28.24% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.05% ( 0) | 63.95% ( -0) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.96% ( 0.08) | 40.04% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.31% ( 0.07) | 76.69% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 14.29% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.69% | 0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 26.86% |
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