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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Nov 12, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
3 - 1
Instituto

Jara (4'), Lucco (36'), Chavarria (78')
Leguizamon (29'), Chicco (73'), Delgado (76'), Chavarria (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Alarcon (22')
Suarez (23'), Requena (45'), Lodico (61'), Moreyra (76'), Romero (90')
Lo Celso (87')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Instituto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Banfield 1-1 Belgrano
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 2-3 River Plate
Thursday, November 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest Instituto win was 0-1 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.

Result
BelgranoDrawInstituto
40.19% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11) 29.61% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 30.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 42.34% (-0.226 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.53% (-0.279 -0.28)64.46% (0.27999999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.48% (-0.2 -0.2)83.51% (0.2 0.2)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (-0.209 -0.21)31.44% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)67.82% (0.242 0.24)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.76% (-0.141 -0.14)38.24% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25% (-0.136 -0.14)75% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 40.18%
    Instituto 30.19%
    Draw 29.6%
BelgranoDrawInstituto
1-0 @ 13.9% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.02% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.6%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 30.19%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Banfield 1-1 Belgrano
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-2 Defensa
Saturday, November 2 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Belgrano
Sunday, October 27 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 0-1 Platense
Saturday, October 19 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 0-0 Belgrano
Sunday, October 6 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 2-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, September 29 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 2-3 River Plate
Thursday, November 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Instituto
Sunday, November 3 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 0-0 Rosario
Saturday, October 26 at 9.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 3-2 Instituto
Sunday, October 20 at 9.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 2-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, October 6 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Instituto
Saturday, September 28 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division


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