SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 41.15%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Platense had a probability of 29.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Platense |
41.15% ( -0.68) | 29.76% ( -0.12) | 29.08% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 41.54% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.76% ( 0.59) | 65.24% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.94% ( 0.41) | 84.06% ( -0.41) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( -0.09) | 31.27% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.38% ( -0.11) | 67.62% ( 0.11) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( 1) | 39.56% ( -0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.75% ( 0.91) | 76.25% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 14.38% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.15% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.75% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.45% Total : 29.08% |
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