SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 46.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Belgrano |
46.55% ( 0.41) | 28.74% ( 0.04) | 24.71% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 41.44% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.98% ( -0.37) | 64.02% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.8% ( -0.26) | 83.2% ( 0.27) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( 0.03) | 27.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% ( 0.05) | 63.26% ( -0.04) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.32% ( -0.63) | 42.68% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.98% ( -0.54) | 79.02% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 15.17% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.63% Total : 46.54% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.73% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.08% Total : 24.7% |
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