SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.51%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.69%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Barracas Central |
59.01% ( -0.05) | 25.77% ( 0.14) | 15.22% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 36.35% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.28% ( -0.52) | 63.71% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.01% ( -0.38) | 82.98% ( 0.37) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.24) | 21.87% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.89% ( -0.37) | 55.11% ( 0.36) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.53% ( -0.45) | 53.47% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.05% ( -0.28) | 86.94% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 17.77% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 59.01% | 0-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.23) 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.3% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.12% Total : 15.22% |
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