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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
May 18, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
3 - 0
Belgrano

Echeverri (36'), Colidio (81'), Solari (86')
Fonseca (31'), Simon (51'), Kranevitter (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Longo (29'), Troilo (64')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Belgrano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawBelgrano
67.45% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 19.58% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 12.96% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (0.024000000000001 0.02)45.64% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.03% (0.019999999999996 0.02)67.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (0.012 0.01)12.55% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.4% (0.024999999999999 0.02)38.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)45.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.39% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)81.6%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 67.45%
    Belgrano 12.96%
    Draw 19.58%
River PlateDrawBelgrano
2-0 @ 12.39%
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 8.58% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.45% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.85% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 67.45%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.58%
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 0.98%
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 12.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Libertad
Wednesday, May 15 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 C. Cordoba
Saturday, May 11 at 11.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-2 River Plate
Wednesday, May 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Libertad 1-2 River Plate
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-3 Boca Juniors
Sunday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 1-3 River Plate
Tuesday, April 16 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-0 Real Tomayapo
Wednesday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Belgrano 4-4 Racing
Sunday, May 12 at 9.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-1 Delfin
Thursday, May 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Real Tomayapo 0-2 Belgrano
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Belgrano 0-4 Racing
Tuesday, April 16 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Delfin 1-1 Belgrano
Friday, April 12 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana


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