SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Belgrano |
67.45% ( 0.02) | 19.58% ( -0.01) | 12.96% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.35% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.36% ( 0.02) | 45.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.03% ( 0.02) | 67.96% ( -0.02) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.45% ( 0.01) | 12.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.4% ( 0.02) | 38.6% ( -0.02) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.14% ( -0) | 45.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.39% ( -0) | 81.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Belgrano |
| 2-0 @ 12.39% 1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 8.58% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.45% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 67.45% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.58% | 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.98% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.96% |
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