SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Belgrano |
39.52% ( -0.01) | 29.01% ( 0.01) | 31.47% |
| Both teams to score 44.29% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.72% ( -0.02) | 62.27% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.06% ( -0.01) | 81.94% ( 0.01) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( -0.01) | 30.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.01% ( -0.01) | 66.99% ( 0.02) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.94% ( -0.01) | 36.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.16% ( -0.01) | 72.84% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 13.07% 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.51% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 31.47% |
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